“The government has committed to building more than 40 new hospitals by 2030. The New Hospital Programme (NHP), a partnership between DHSC and NHSE, aims to ensure that this new hospital infrastructure will meet the future needs of the population and that the required investment represents value for money.
Estimating future activity levels represents a critical early step in the process of scaling and designing new hospital infrastructure. The Demand and Capacity Modelling Tool has been developed by the Strategy Unit to support DHSC and its stakeholders to make robust and auditable assessments of activity that hospitals may need to accommodate in future.” (source)
GitHub repositories
Project information website
NHP model project information website: https://connect.strategyunitwm.nhs.uk/nhp/project_information/.
Quality assurance
Quality assurance plan and log managed using GitHub Projects at https://github.com/orgs/The-Strategy-Unit/projects/6.
This is explained in their presentation from the NHS RPySOC 2025 Conference.
Training recordings
The Strategy Unit has published recordings of its training sessions, technical deep dives and Q&A sessions on the Demand and Capacity Model, for analysts and strategic planners working on new hospital schemes. Where a recording’s description gives timings for its sections, each section is listed separately and the link starts the video at that section.
| Session | Year | Duration | Details |
|---|---|---|---|
| NHP D&C Tech/Data Q&A | 2026 | 00:30:55 | Discussion Session for All Schemes 24th April 2026 |
| NHP D&C Modelling and Validation | 2026 | 01:30:02 | Training Session for All Schemes 17th April 2026 |
| NHP D&C Modelling - Validation | 2026 | 01:45:57 | Training Session for All Schemes 7th January 2026 |
| Qualifying Mitigation Overview with Peter Spilsbury, Sarah Lucas and James Sandy | 2025 | 00:29:13 | 00:00 Introduction 00:39 Background and understanding potentially mitigable activity 6:06 Typical assumptions for the extent of mitigation 10:07 Future opportunities 15:19 User guide: understanding the report layout 18:06 Characterising the mitigator cohorts 19:25 Understanding overlap between… |
| NHP Demand and Capacity (D&C) Model | 2025 | 01:29:42 | A Technical Deep Dive for Data Scientists 13th May 2025 |
| Advanced training for analysts and strategic planners #2 | 2025 | 02:34:44 | Demand and Capacity Modelling 29th April 2025 |
| Advanced Training for Analysts and Strategic Partners | 2025 | 02:07:18 | Demand and Capacity Modlelling - 8th April 2025 |
| The New Hospitals Programme Demand and Capacity Model - Introductory Session for CSU Staff | 2025 | 01:00:39 | |
| The New Hospital Programme: Demand and Capacity Model 24/25 | 2024 | 00:46:30 | Technical Leads Meeting 3rd December 2024 |
| The New Hospital Programme: Demand and Capacity Modelling 24/25 | 2024 | 00:56:51 | Technical Leads Meeting 14th November 2024 |
| The New Hospital Programme: Demand and Capacity Modelling 24/25 | 2024 | 00:19:39 | Technical Leads Meeting 29th October 2024 |
| The New Hospital Programme: Demand and Capacity Modelling 24/25 | 2024 | 00:15:27 | Technical Leads Meeting 8th October 2024 |
| The New Hospital Programme: Demand and Capacity Modelling 24/25 | 2024 | 00:54:11 | Technical Leads Meeting 17th September 2024 |
| The New Hospital Programme: Demand and Capacity Model 24/25 | 2024 | 00:50:05 | Technical Leads Meeting 19th July 2024 |
| The New Hospital Programme: Demand and Capacity Model 24/25 | 2024 | 01:43:22 | Training Session 4th July 2024 |
| The New Hospital Programme: Demand and Capacity Modelling | 2024 | 00:40:30 | Technical Leads Meeting 24th June 2024 |
| The New Hospital Programme: Demand and Capacity Model 24/25 | 2024 | 00:31:44 | Interpreting Outputs - Questions & Answers Session 19th June 2024 |
| The New Hospital Programme: New Models of Care Evidence Map | 2024 | 00:13:21 | An Introduction 17th June 2024 |
You can also browse the New Hospital Programme playlist on YouTube, or search these recordings alongside others in the Recordings Finder.